The Russo-Ukrainian War is a long-running conflict that predominantly pits Russia and pro-Russian troops against Ukraine. In the aftermath of the Dignity Revolution in February 2014, a row erupted over the status of Crimea and sections of the Donbas, both of which are internationally recognized as part of Ukraine. The Russian annexation of Crimea (2014), the War in Donbas (2014–present), maritime incidents, cyberwarfare, and political tensions were part of the conflict. Seeing Western country’s actions against Russia, a lot of people are curious to know who is winning the war in between Russia and Ukraine?
Russia provided military support to rebels in Donbas while attempting to conceal its role. Following Russian military buildups on Ukraine’s borders in 2021, on February 24, 2022, Russia began a large-scale invasion of Ukraine. Let’s know more about these recent events.
Who will win the War, Russia or Ukraine?
On Sunday, Ukraine and Russia agreed to communicate through the media. The prospect of preventing a conflict in Ukraine has been dashed once more. When it comes to America’s strike in the ‘next several days,’ British officials have gotten their information that Vladimir Putin, Russia’s President, has chosen to attack. The White House has accused Russia of lying, claiming that soldiers have now climbed to almost 150,000.
We can say that if Ukraine allies with West countries for military support before Russia seizes it completely, Ukraine is more likely to win this war. If we cut off West countries, Russia is more likely to win this war. The way Russia is unstoppable even after a lot of sanctions from western countries, clearly shows that they could only be stopped with huge opposing military power.
No other countries looking to get into the situation of war as each country is already affected by the COVID pandemic. So, it’s hard to say that countries like America, the UK, and many more will provide military support to Ukraine.
Russia’s Invasion Strategy Proved Disastrous
With the benefit of hindsight, Russia’s objective for the early days of the conflict is more straightforward: seize Kyiv as quickly as possible and overthrow President Volodymyr Zelensky’s administration, thereby ending the battle before it began.
According to a pre-war study performed by Russia’s FSB intelligence service, which was recently released to British specialists, Ukrainians were dissatisfied with their leaders and gloomy about their future. The Russian invasion strategy appears to have relied on this estimate, assuming that the Ukrainian opposition would be minor and that a quick march on Kyiv would be possible.
Traditional military theory advocates for the substantial employment of “combined weapons” in a fight like this: diverse components of military force, such as tanks, infantry, and aircraft, deployed simultaneously and in a complementary manner.
The military confrontation in Ukraine began in early 2014 and swiftly devolved into a sustained standoff, with daily shelling and skirmishes taking place along the front line between Russian and Ukrainian-controlled border territories in the east. Since Russia began a full-scale military assault into Ukraine on February 24, 2022, combat has resulted in over a hundred civilian deaths and tens of thousands of Ukrainians fleeing to neighboring nations, notably Poland, where US forces are poised to aid.
Russia began mobilizing troops and military equipment near the border with Ukraine in October 2021, reigniting fears of an attack. Armor, rockets, and other heavy armaments were traveling into Ukraine in November and December 2021.
By December, more than a hundred thousand Russian troops had been stationed along the Russia-Ukraine border, and US intelligence sources warned that Russia might be plotting an assault for early 2022. Russia’s foreign ministry released a series of demands in mid-December 2021, requesting that the United States and NATO suspend all military activities in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, pledge to no further NATO expansion toward Russia, and prohibit Ukraine from joining NATO in the future.
By December 2021, more than 100,000 Russian troops were stationed along the Ukraine-Russia border, and US intelligence sources warned that Russia might be plotting an assault for early 2022. Russia’s foreign ministry released a series of demands in mid-December 2021, requesting that the US and NATO suspend all military activities in Eastern Europe and Central Asia, pledge to oppose further NATO expansion against Russia, and prevent Ukraine from joining NATO in the future.
These requests were rejected by the US and other NATO partners, who warned Russia that if it attacked Ukraine, it would face harsh economic consequences. Ammunition, small weapons, and other defensive armament were among the extra military supplies provided to Ukraine by the United States.
The US warned in late February 2022 that Russia was planning an invasion of Ukraine, citing Russia’s increased military posture along the Russian-Ukraine border. Russian President Vladimir Putin then dispatched soldiers to the rebel areas of Luhansk and Donetsk, which are partly held by Russian-backed separatists in Eastern Ukraine, stating that the forces were needed for “peacekeeping.”
In Ukraine, Who Has Power Over What?
Battles rage across Ukraine as Russian soldiers press in on Kyiv, the country’s capital and home to 3 million people. Blasts have also been heard in Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest city, which is located close to the country’s Russian border and has roughly 1.5 million people.
The battle between Russia and Ukraine has been dubbed the “largest war since World War II.” The start of this war depicts Russia’s and Ukraine’s significant escalation in 2014. Russia started an invasion of Ukraine in the southwest on February 24, 2022. The formation of the Russian military had preceded this invasion. It was only started in 2021, and at the time, Russia’s President, Vladimir Putin, had described NATO as a threat to the country’s security.
The Year 2015 And The Cease-Fire
Donetsk, Luhansk, and Mariupol were the three cities that symbolized the three fronts on which soldiers purportedly equipped, trained, and backed by Russia pressed Ukraine in January.
A photograph of a BPM-97 allegedly within Ukraine, in Luhansk, in early January 2015 gave more proof of Russian military vehicles inside Ukraine.
On January 21, Poroshenko warned of a potential escalation, citing reports of more least 2,000 extra Russian troops, as well as 200 tanks and armed personnel carriers, crossing the border. Because of his fears about the deterioration of the situation, Obama cut short his visit to the World Economic Forum in Davos.
The Bottom Line
The present crisis has strained relations between the United States and Russia and heightened a more extensive European conflict. Due to alliance security obligations, tensions between Russia and nearby NATO member nations are expected to rise, perhaps involving the United States. Furthermore, the Ukrainian conflict will have far-reaching consequences, particularly for US-China relations and future cooperation on critical issues.
Hopefully, we provided biased information about winning circumstances for both Russia and Ukraine in the war.